Original Target: OKC
I had chased the previous day in northeast KS hoping to see some nice high-based supercells, but the 3km EHIs of 4 went to waste as forcing was too weak and shear was too strong. So by sunset I decided to head down to Wichita for the night and pore over the data for another chase opportunity on Saturday.
After getting the 12Z data Sat morning
and failing to locate any one distinct outflow boundary, I targetted the
area just north of OKC for initiation based on all this
data. One fact that the models all overlooked was the rapid sfc
heating of the rain-soaked soil in this area. Stratocu quickly covered
the skies south to OKC and I had a sick feeling...the dryline would be
mixing through one way or the other and with temps of only 62 and upper
50 Tds at noon in OKC, my target would need serious revision. I saw
some nice breaks in the CIGs south of the city and decided to go there
for better visibility and also for a library data stop. Well, only
every library in the state was closed that day and my laptop/cell connection
wasn't configured properly, so I had to go strictly visual and rely off
of the NWSFO's convective updates. In a way it was fun, but overall
very limiting. By 1pm, I saw distant TCu about 80 miles to the northwest
and I didn't hesitate to go after them since they were much more defined
than any of the others going up on the dryline. One even displayed
a pileus, but as I got just north of OKC they had dissipated. I heard
about the supercell way up in Alfalfa county along the cold front, but
I don't like chasing distant warnings when convective potential is still
decent nearby. Seeing a gas station outside the city made me pull
over and fill up. To my surprise, DOW and about a dozen other chasers
(including N. Rasmussen and his hail-battered Saturn!) were parked nearby
and monitoring the TCu fields. We chatted for awhile and eventually
the chaser convergence values became strong enough that within 30 min the
capped TCu exploded and glaciated overhead! :) The rest is
below!