| Widespread early morning
storms throughout northeast Montana sure looked to put the kibosh on
any hopes for afternoon severe. Most of the models and even
the SREF were consistent in focusing the surface trof this afternoon
near the MT/ND border coincident with ample shear and instability,
but by late morning I scrapped this idea given the abundant cloud
debris. The new chase target suddenly became less complex at
this point...chase where the clouds aren't! So I drove to
Plentywood, MT and after observing the latest sfc obs and satellite
imagery I felt assured in crossing into Canada. I always fear
crossing into Canada only to see convection erupt back where I
originally started, so I make an honest attempt to wholly assess
convective potential as getting back into the States can sometimes
become a hassle (though the longest I've ever had to wait was about
five minutes...knock on wood).
Driving north on HWY 6, I entered welcome sunshine and over time
a highly capped Cu line emerged to my northwest. I believe it
was at the intersection of HWYs 6 and 13 where I pulled over to
monitor a crisp turret break the cap and later glaciate. The
atmosphere was surprisingly moist as this tiny cell's precip core
was actually surviving all the way down. In the end this cell
turned out to be a distraction from the real show that was still
about 60 miles to my NW. With time I could see much more
robust convection ensuing to my northwest, so I shot north to Regina
and about 15 minutes later decided to turn on the weather
radio. To my surprise, I heard the tornado warning statement
for the area northwest of Regina...aarrgghh!!! This cell's
anvil (photo) was already visible by this point and became
heavily backsheared with even a few knuckles taking shape (vid
grab). While about 10 miles south of Regina, the base
became visible and I observed a narrow, tapered lowering extend
surfaceward in a 10 to 4 o'clock direction. My video only
shows a wall cloud moments after this...the funnel was just too
brief. From here on my route took me east on the TCH up to HWY
46 (mainly to avoid downtown Regina). I drove about eight
miles ENE of Regina before pulling over to watch this readily
apparent supercell showcase a tail and wall cloud (vid
grab). The inflow to this supercell felt awfully cool, but
it was all relative considering temperatures aloft and more
importantly the shear. A tapered lowering (vid
grab) quickly materialized and later became columnar (vid
grab) to the NNW of the RFD. After reviewing the video
I'll call this a *very slowly* rotating funnel or tornado if one
subscribes religiously to the 50% or better rule. Proceeding
north on a side road that dropped off into dirt I documented a vivid
wall cloud from a heavily occluded mesocyclone (photo). I was getting too close for comfort
at this point, so I shot east on Cat Creek Rd (dirt again) and
watched as this wall cloud persisted for probably the next 15
minutes all the while becoming more distant with respect to the
front flank updraft (photo). Driving north on 364 (vid
grab showing a low contrast beaver's tail), there was still
rotation apparent within the wall cloud (vid grab
1, vid grab 2), but nothing that had my spine
tingling. While this wall cloud was dissipating east of 364, a
husband and wife in a white minivan pulled over to tell me of a
close encounter they had with a tornado not more than 10 minutes
earlier just north of Edenwold. I didn't question their
observation, but in reality I didn't see anything remotely
resembling a tornado unless there was no condensation and limited
debris. Not too impressed with this supercell's structure just
west of Edgeley (vid grab), I focused my attention on a new cell
developing back to my southwest.
Dropping south and catching a quick fuel up, the CG activity with
this new cell near Regina was increasing markedly. I had high
hopes for this storm (vid
grab), but it ultimately failed to organize any further as its
updraft base didn't want to build eastward (turn to the
right). Yet another storm rapidly developed just southwest of
the decaying cell, but the rippled/wavy updraft base combined with
overturning scud directly below (vid
grab) signaled it was running over the previous storm's cold
pool. Dangit! Unable to get any radar or internet data,
I called it a day while motoring south to Weyburn for dinner before
catching the nearest border crossing. I did stop briefly to
photograph a tail-end Charlie (vid
grab) north of Weyburn that eventually exhibited a nicely arced
updraft base (photo), but probably spent too much time here or in
Weyburn as I arrived too late at the Fortuna border crossing.
I screwed up big time and as a result had to drive two hours out of
my way to the nearest 24 hour border crossing just to get to my
motel in Williston, ND! Not my finest moment by far. I
arrived in Williston dog-tired just after 1am CDT, but overall very
satisfied with this day's storms. Total mileage:
540. |